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Bharatiya Janata Party · 2019
दावा
आंशिक रूप से सटीक
डिलीवरी
आंशिक रूप से पूरा
कुल निर्यात मज़बूती से बढ़ा है और दोगुना नहीं हुआ। घोषणापत्र की मील-पत्थर सूची ने ‘कुल निर्यात दोगुना करने की दिशा में काम करने’ की प्रतिबद्धता जताई थी, जिसका आधार 2018-19 में वस्तु और सेवा मिलाकर लगभग 538 अरब डॉलर था। वाणिज्य एवं उद्योग मंत्रालय ने 4 अगस्त 2026 को संसद को बताया कि ‘वित्त वर्ष 2025-26 में भारत का कुल निर्यात (वस्तु और सेवा) 863.05 अरब अमेरिकी डॉलर रहा’, और चालू वर्ष की अप्रैल-जून तिमाही में साल-दर-साल 11.37 प्रतिशत की वृद्धि हुई। यह सात वर्षों में लगभग 60 प्रतिशत वृद्धि है — ठोस, और दोगुने से कम। इसका अधिकांश भार सेवाओं ने उठाया है; उत्तर का अपना ढाँचा 2 लाख करोड़ डॉलर के आगे के लक्ष्य का उल्लेख करता है।
“कुल निर्यात दोगुना करने की दिशा में काम करना।”कोई कैग निष्पादन लेखापरीक्षा प्रकाशित नहीं
इस योजना पर कैग की कोई निष्पादन लेखापरीक्षा प्रकाशित नहीं हुई है। लेखापरीक्षा का न होना इस बात का प्रमाण नहीं है कि दावा सही है या ग़लत।
इस अवधि के निर्यात संवर्धन की कोई कैग लेखापरीक्षा हमारे पास मौजूद रिपोर्टों में संसद में नहीं रखी गई है। यहाँ के आँकड़े वाणिज्य एवं उद्योग मंत्रालय के अपने हैं।
कोई लेखापरीक्षा अवधि नहीं — इस योजना पर कैग की कोई निष्पादन लेखापरीक्षा प्रकाशित नहीं हुई।
Overall exports of goods and services $863.05 billion in FY 2025-26
यह आँकड़ा वस्तु और सेवा दोनों का है। यूरोपीय संघ को वस्तु निर्यात वित्त वर्ष 2020-21 के 41.36 अरब डॉलर से बढ़कर 2024-25 में 75.76 अरब डॉलर और अमेरिका को 51.6 अरब डॉलर से 86.5 अरब डॉलर हुआ।
Lok Sabha Starred Question No. 229, Export Promotion Initiatives — answer by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry
A note on the claim. This entry was imported as a promise to take merchandise exports "from 330 billion" to double. The 2019 manifesto states it more briefly, as milestone 51 in its list for India at 75: "Work towards doubling the total exports." Total, not merchandise — a distinction that matters, because India's export growth since has come disproportionately from services.
India's combined goods and services exports were about $538 billion in 2018-19. Doubling means roughly $1.08 trillion.
The Ministry of Commerce and Industry gave the current position to the Lok Sabha on 4 August 2026: "India's overall exports (merchandise and services) during FY 2025-26 stood at 863.05 billion US dollars." Growth in the April-June quarter of 2026-27 was "11.37% over the corresponding period" of the previous year.
Eight hundred and sixty-three billion against about $1.08 trillion needed. That is roughly 60 per cent growth in seven years, at a moment when world trade has been repeatedly disrupted — by the pandemic, by shipping crises, and by tariff shifts in India's largest market. It is a strong performance and it is not a doubling, and the deadline the milestone list implied has passed.
Two composition points belong with the headline.
Services are doing the heavy lifting. India's software, business and professional services exports have grown faster than goods throughout this period; merchandise exports have been broadly flat in dollar terms for several years. The manifesto promised total exports, so services count — but a reader assessing India's manufacturing competitiveness should not read this number as evidence about it.
The destination data, from a separate answer in this corpus, shows where merchandise growth did occur: exports to the European Union rose from $41.36 billion in 2020-21 to $75.76 billion in 2024-25, and to the United States from $51.6 billion to $86.5 billion.
The government has since set a further target of $2 trillion, referred to in the question this answer responds to. That is a commitment for a later review.
Our verdict is partly accurate.
BJP Sankalp Patra 2019 — Lok Sabha election manifesto
“Through this Sankalp Patra, you would get a glimpse of the challenges of the yesteryears, the indomitable efforts made by 130 crore Indians to overcome those challenges and our collective vision for the future… There are two commitments that I am extremely passionate about — doubling of farmer income and housing for all, by the year 2022.”
Lok Sabha Starred Question No. 229, Export Promotion Initiatives — answer by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry
“[Question (b): the current status of export growth and the details of the measures adopted to achieve the export target of USD 2 trillion] Answer (b): India's overall exports (merchandise and services) during FY 2025-26 stood at 863.05 billion US dollars. In the current financial year's April-June quarter, exports registered a growth of 11.37% over the corresponding period of the [previous year]… [The Government continues to] monitor export performance across sectors through a coordinated whole-of-[government approach involving] the Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT), Export Promotion Councils (EPCs), Commodity Boards [and] concerned [ministries].”