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Bharatiya Janata Party · 2019
Claim
Unverifiable
Delivery
Not delivered
Four years after the deadline, the government does not report whether farmers' incomes doubled — and when asked directly, does not answer. A member asked the Ministry of Agriculture on 11 March 2025 for 'the progress made in doubling farmers' income'. The reply names no income figure at all. It states that agriculture is a state subject, that the department's budget rose from ₹21,933.50 crore in 2013-14 to ₹1,22,528.77 crore in 2024-25, and lists twelve schemes. India's only official measure of farm household income is the Situation Assessment Survey, last conducted for 2018-19; none has been fielded since, so the 2022 target cannot be tested against any government data.
“We remain committed to the promise of doubling farmer incomes by 2022 and more resources will be made available if necessary.”No CAG performance audit published
No CAG performance audit covering this scheme has been published. The absence of an audit is not evidence that the claim is either accurate or inaccurate.
No CAG audit of the doubling farmers' income goal has been tabled, and no official measurement of farm household income has been published since the 2018-19 Situation Assessment Survey.
No audit period to plot — no CAG performance audit covering this scheme has been published.
No farmers' income figure reported; agriculture department budget raised from ₹21,933.50 crore in 2013-14 to ₹1,22,528.77 crore in 2024-25
The twelve schemes the ministry lists are inputs — income support, insurance, credit subvention, infrastructure funds, producer organisations. None of them measures the outcome the promise names.
Lok Sabha Unstarred Question No. 1882, Doubling Farmers Income — answer by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare
The doubling of farmers' income was announced by the Prime Minister in February 2016 with a target year of 2022, and the 2019 manifesto renewed it: "We remain committed to the promise of doubling farmer incomes by 2022 and more resources will be made available if necessary."
Four years past that date, the simplest question — did it happen? — has no official answer. A member of Parliament asked the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare on 11 March 2025 for "the progress made in doubling farmers' income and measures taken in the last two years."
The reply contains no income figure. It opens by noting that "Agriculture is a State subject and Government of India supports the efforts of States through appropriate policy measures, budgetary allocation and various schemes/ programmes." It reports that the department's budget estimate rose from ₹21,933.50 crore in 2013-14 to ₹1,22,528.77 crore in 2024-25. It then lists twelve schemes: PM-KISAN, the Kisan Maan Dhan pension, Fasal Bima, the modified interest subvention scheme, the Agriculture Infrastructure Fund, the 10,000 FPO scheme, the bee keeping and honey mission, Namo Drone Didi, the natural farming mission, PM-AASHA, AgriSURE and Per Drop More Crop.
Every one of those is an input. Not one of them measures farm household income.
The measurement that would settle it exists as an instrument: the Situation Assessment Survey of Agricultural Households, run by the National Statistical Office. Its last round covered the agricultural year 2018-19 and was published in 2021, reporting average monthly income per agricultural household of ₹10,218. The baseline for the doubling target, the 2012-13 round, reported ₹6,426. No survey has been fielded since. Without a post-2022 round, the target cannot be evaluated against government data — by the government or by anyone else.
That is why the accuracy here is recorded as unverifiable rather than graded false. It is not that the promise demonstrably failed; it is that the state chose not to measure the one number the promise was about, and answers questions on it by listing schemes and budgets. The Dalwai committee that designed the strategy recommended periodic income measurement precisely so that progress could be tracked. That recommendation was not followed.
Delivery is recorded as not delivered because the deadline passed with no evidence of achievement produced by the body that set it.
BJP Sankalp Patra 2019 — Lok Sabha election manifesto
“Through this Sankalp Patra, you would get a glimpse of the challenges of the yesteryears, the indomitable efforts made by 130 crore Indians to overcome those challenges and our collective vision for the future… There are two commitments that I am extremely passionate about — doubling of farmer income and housing for all, by the year 2022.”
Lok Sabha Unstarred Question No. 1882, Doubling Farmers Income — answer by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare
“[Question (a): the progress made in doubling farmers' income and measures taken in the last two years] Answer (a): Agriculture is a State subject and Government of India supports the efforts of States through appropriate policy measures, budgetary allocation and various schemes/ programmes. The various schemes/ programmes of the Government of India are meant for the welfare of farmers by increasing production, remunerative returns and income support to farmers. The Government has substantially enhanced the budget allocation of Department of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare (DA&FW) from ₹21933.50 crore BE during 2013-14 to ₹1,22,528.77 crore BE during 2024-25. Major schemes/programmes initiated by DA&FW to enhance overall income of farmers and remunerative returns in the agriculture sector are as under: 1. PM-KISAN 2. PM-KMY 3. PMFBY/RWBCIS 4. Modified Interest Subvention Scheme 5. Agriculture Infrastructure Fund 6. Formation and Promotion of 10,000 new FPOs 7. National Bee Keeping and Honey Mission 8. Namo Drone Didi 9. National Mission on Natural Farming 10. PM-AASHA 11. AgriSURE 12. Per Drop More Crop. [The answer contains no figure for farmers' income.]”
Farmers' Monthly Income jumps to Rs. 10,218 in 2018-19 from Rs. 6,426 in 2012-13: NSO Survey — Press Information Bureau release 1896134
“National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) conducted a Situation Assessment Survey (SAS) of Agricultural Households during NSS 77th round (January 2019 - December 2019) with reference to the agricultural year July 2018 - June 2019 in the rural areas of the country. Similar survey was also conducted during 70th round by NSO. As per result of SASs, the average monthly income per agricultural household during 2012-13 and 2018-19 is given below. Period / Average Monthly Income (in Rs.): 2012-13 (70th Round) — 6,426; 2018-19 (77th Round) — 10,218. Source: NSS Report No. 576 SAS (70th Round -2013) and NSS Report No. 587, SAS (77th Round-2019), MoSPI. This information was given by the Union Minister of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, Shri Narendra Singh Tomar in a written reply in Rajya Sabha today.”